Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.528911 0.610063 0.698496 0.801886 0.919308 1.048379 1.200862
2025-08-03 0.393487 0.504653 0.637833 0.808494 1.020676 1.275046 1.602289
2025-08-10 0.313483 0.435060 0.591262 0.805275 1.089276 1.451417 1.946100
2025-08-17 0.257152 0.381235 0.550200 0.794816 1.137152 1.595998 2.253653
2025-08-24 0.216158 0.339690 0.516714 0.785601 1.179596 1.730755 2.553738
2025-08-31 0.180173 0.298847 0.477101 0.760025 1.192259 1.820705 2.794215
2025-09-07 0.166911 0.290072 0.482708 0.800165 1.302667 2.057481 3.263405
2025-09-14 0.142893 0.260305 0.451575 0.778843 1.315452 2.147878 3.518797
2025-09-21 0.123041 0.234455 0.423112 0.757582 1.324477 2.230782 3.766187
2025-09-28 0.107181 0.213196 0.399439 0.740911 1.337999 2.319880 4.027762
2025-10-05 0.098932 0.204554 0.396337 0.758685 1.410081 2.508345 4.463597
2025-10-12 0.094472 0.202401 0.404390 0.796601 1.519638 2.766496 5.033257
2025-10-19 0.088140 0.195992 0.404301 0.820436 1.607777 2.997435 5.578683
2025-10-26 0.080448 0.185812 0.395943 0.827967 1.667075 3.183051 6.060162
2025-11-02 0.072546 0.174011 0.382901 0.824738 1.705291 3.332880 6.487331
2025-11-09 0.064885 0.161598 0.367077 0.814049 1.727672 3.454562 6.870739
2025-11-16 0.058268 0.150551 0.352727 0.804628 1.751181 3.579206 7.267207
2025-11-23 0.051086 0.137094 0.331558 0.778477 1.738207 3.632603 7.531286
2025-11-30 0.049762 0.137607 0.341225 0.819519 1.866841 3.969648 8.364727
2025-12-07 0.044119 0.126503 0.323264 0.797718 1.861120 4.039976 8.678497
2025-12-14 0.039136 0.116317 0.306187 0.775980 1.853254 4.104720 8.984433
2025-12-21 0.034993 0.107716 0.291838 0.758934 1.853893 4.186374 9.329295
2025-12-28 0.033190 0.105282 0.292348 0.777107 1.934916 4.441371 10.048580